'Shadow' app that failed in Iowa caucus was doomed from the start, say those forced to use it

ask joe rogan

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One way or another, this is going to be the last gasp of the DNC establishment. The incompetence, the complacency, the corruption, and the willingness to compromise with bad-faith actors in the GOP isn’t sustainable.

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I’m working on the assumption that Trump will get re-elected later this year, either through a narrow win in the EC or election fraud that Chuck Schumer will write a sternly-worded note about, and then do nothing else.

It’s actually better for my mental health this way: if the Dems manage to stop tripping over their shadows and eke out a win, then I will be pleasantly surprised by that. I expect more and more dirty tricks from domestic and overseas actors all year (which this may or may not be) and more bland BS from the corporate dems who do just fine no matter who wins.

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In fairness, he’s not a Democrat, but participating in the Democratic primary and trying to run as the Democratic candidate, while still not being a Democrat. I’m sure that makes some people mad.

(I get that the two party dominance means he couldn’t run as an Independent without causing a spoiler effect.)

If we could rewrite history, it would have been nice if he had spent the last 30 years campaigning for Ranked Choice Voting everywhere instead. Then he could run rightfully as an Independent. Cooperating with the Democratic candidate to drive voter turnout as choices 1-2. Either could win in that scenario by driving people off the couch into the booth who while there, are more likely to rank a second since they’re already there.

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it was previously done by phone call. and they didn’t – so far as i understand – put together and staff a phone bank for receiving the calls this year because they had the app instead.

it has the same root causes as electronic voting:

  • the belief that privately held companies are “more efficient” than public, worker oriented, or volunteer organizations
  • the belief that software is “more efficient” and “more reliable” than older, time tested systems
  • the desire – probably – to route money to their friends (*)
  • the love of shiny things

people want voting (results reporting, etc.) to be as fancy as their uber app. despite the fact there are good reasons to not try to make it so.

[edit]
(*) yikes. they only budgeted 60,000 dollars for development!? never trust people who aren’t capable grifting the big dollars i guess.

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I’m a SandersSis. I held my nose and voted for Hillz along with a majority of Bernie’s supporters.

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Toast

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not exactly ranked choice, but in general form this is what stacey abrams seems to be doing

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Here’s Krista’s linked-in profile pic:
image

She should prepare for some intentional bias against her coding.

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Yes, to be sure. I mean, it’s already spelled the end of the idea that there are “checks” or “balances” in the U.S. government, which is fundamental to any sort of faith in government at all.

But it seems like the easiest way to remind people that there are super huge consequences to this election is to keep hammering on SCOTUS. Because who doesn’t love RBG?

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…Which is exactly what’s reflected in that poll.

But when the minority starts adding up to real numbers, it becomes a problem in a close race decided by, say, 90,000 votes spread over three states.

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We really shouldn’t care much to begin with. Less than 200,000 white folks in a state with 45 delegates and a cockamamie 19th century selection process isn’t exactly a sensible way to gauge anything.

Had little to no involvement here. The caucus is run and all rules set by the Iowa Democratic Party, not the DNC. More over the process used this go round was chosen in response to the Sanders’ complaints about how the caucus was conducted in 2016.

And not even a primary.

Plus a quarter of his primary voters went on to vote for someone besides Clinton.

Though “Bernie or Bust” is less of a factor than that would make you think. Cause about half of those went on to vote Trump or a right wing 3rd party candidate. And self identified as conservative or Republican.

Nearly 25%. 12% apparently voted for Trump.

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keep-calm-and-worship-his-shadow-5

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I feel bad for her. I feel bad for anyone who is forced to confront their own failure. It’s rough.

If this turns out to be a conspiracy situation (and the chaos-loving part of me hopes it is!), then she is the fall-guy.

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Hanlon’s razor seems applicable.

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Hanlon’s Razor gives us a false binary here. You can have both stupidity and malice and even stupid malice. This could easily be all of the above. Stupid people motivated by stupid malice stupidly endeavoring toward stupid ends.

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In penance for my confusion as well as for the historical record, here are the results from the (all-too-appropriately-acronymed) ANES polling:

2008 79.5% of HRC primary voters voted for Obama in the general; 15.7% voted for McCain

2016 77.0% of Sanders primary voters voted for HRC; 10.8% voted for Trump

(source: https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/900442254426427394/photo/2)

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Bernie did it! OK, got it.

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XS5LK

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Seth Klarman is the founder of the Boston-based Baupost Group hedge fund and a longtime donor to corporate Republican candidates. After Donald Trump called for forgiving Puerto Rico’s debt, Klarman – the owner of $911 million of the island’s bonds – flipped and began funding Trump’s opponents.

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