BTW: God just texted me that I should remind you to sneeze into your elbow and take it easy on the sugar intake.
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Given that Papa Frank has a graduate degree in the physical sciences I wouldn’t put it past him. He understands basic safety procedures.
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You, I think, are trying to make a political point and I am trying to make a technical point. Don’t confuse the two.
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Well, I didn’t say that. So, no.
My honest guess (in which I have relatively low confidence) from doing some basic modeling is that the peak will be in late April.
Reassuring investors with bullshit is literally his only skill. everything is a nail.
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Americans see the light at the end of the tunnel alright, but it’s not April 12th, it’s November 3rd.
I mean, hopefully.
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Georgia, Maryland and South carolina have only performed hundreds of tests.
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I don’t consider a pandemic to be political; I was trying to make a human point.
This is why I don’t like conversing with mathematicians (no idea if you are but have had similar exchanges). The numbers/equations aren’t what matter, its what they represent that matter. Here they represent human health and death. A response about the technical difference between an exponential curve and the start of a difference between 2 exponentials that is still effectively exponential suggests caring about the math more than the humans.
Also most viruses are actively contained, which can work in this case as well (see Korea, Japan, or Taiwan over the past 2 months). So claiming this cannot spread exponentially (which it absolutely could for months more infecting a billion people) sounds defeatist and discouraging of making an active response to contain it.
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See Appendix 1 of the Imperial College paper for modeling of the U.S. course of the epidemic.
There are many explainers of exponential/logistic growth on YouTube. Here is one of the earliest, and by favorite because it includes an xkcd shout-out.
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I was going to mention that. Thanks.
On the case of GA, here is what an actor who likely has Coronavirus told CNN this week:
I’m guessing he went to Grady (he does not mention the hospital), which is the largest public hospital in ATL and in the state. He got a tested, but they would not process his test, since he was not in the highest risk category.
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I don’t think he knows about second impeachment , Pip.
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$9K bill. But I imagine insurance helped with that. It’ll be a lot worse for the uninsured.
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It sucks, but that was less my concern here.
I was pointing out that, despite have clear symptoms and getting a test, his test was not processed, because, despite being sick, he’s relatively young and healthy. And it seems like the hospital he went to (again, I’m guessing Grady) seems like it’s being overwhelmed. If (it is) Grady is fucked, the city and state are fucked. Grady has become an expert on catastrophic care over the years in the ATL area, plus, they regularly share staff from Emory hospital. If they’re struggling to keep up… it does not bode well.
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Well, not that tunnel. Unless the train doesn’t use tracks.
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Pedant here:
Light at the end of the tunnel being a train isn’t a great analogy because if it’s a train it doesn’t matter what you do, you’re screwed either way. Maybe a better metaphor could be that Trump is telling the country to ‘go towards the light’…
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So Trump says this, and his followers take it as gospel, and next week it’s not better.
How many times will this happen before the true-believers start to crack?
Trump is taking every chance available to screw this up.
Being reasonably intelligent in the United States is like being thrown into the ocean strapped to someone who can’t swim and who is holding a rope attached to a sinking ship, refusing to let go.
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I guess that means the Devil gets 1/3 of soccer games?
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