Word. & I think he’s forgetting unmeasured confounding, i.e. influences like the DNC and people being angry at “the establishment”… But how to measure them? No clue other than watch the results of the primaries: who shows up, who stays home.
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Michigan has a semi-open primary and a history of cross-voting in the primaries. I’d be surprised if a lot of Republicans didn’t vote on the Democratic ticket.
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Silver’s good at statistics. As far as being a political pundit…? I’d choose a random commenter from this thread over him. All about the data. Garbage in, garbage out.
@IronEdithKidd I saw some suggestions that Clinton voters might have been voting in the Republican primary instead (although if they did, that’s their problem - and who would they have been voting for?)
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Kasich or Cruz, whomever they thought has a snowballs chance of defeating Trump here. I’d bet good money that Clinton encouraged her supporters to not cross-vote, though.
If so, this might be a case where the media story that Clinton has things all locked up could have worked against her.
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@anon67050589 how will this play in Chicago?
What is the general opinion of Rahm Emmanuel? Is he seen as close to Clinton? (could it be construed as criticism of Obama instead?)
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General opinion of Rahm is resignation to frustration to anger. Chicago is a Polish/Irish/Mexican (and thus heavily Catholic) city, so both Rahm and Obama are outsiders in a way, as are Clinton and Sanders. I’ve seen equal numbers of Clinton and Sanders bumper stickers and yard signs. It’s largely a Democratic town, with Republicans tending to only a few neighborhoods any mostly in the suburbs, and I live on the south side, so really I don’t see any Trump or Rubio or Cruz signs at all to be able to predict anything about that side of things.
I will say that I’m seeing significantly less signage, door-knockers, and volunteers in general. I think everyone is wary about this election, rather than excited.
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Why vote for Bernie Sanders? Because Hilary likes to twist history. This shit pissed me off so much that I’m seriously at a loss for words right now…
EDIT: Oh and have at this, the LGBT groups who have endorsed her still haven’t responded to her comments, I hope they flee from her like rats from a sinking ship.
Clinton has secured a number of endorsements from high-profile LGBT groups – but they haven’t yet directly weighed in on the controversy.
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I was planning on voting for Hillary Clinton in the general election if she end up being the nominee, as of this comment from her that is no longer true. I am going to write in Bernie Sanders on my ballot if Clinton is the Democratic nominee.
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Fucking hell.
For those of you too young to remember the '80’s, the Reagan administration’s response to the AIDS crisis was to ostentatiously ignore it, on the grounds that the only people getting killed were faggots and junkies, and AIDS was God’s punishment for sinners.
This didn’t change until middle-class heterosexual white people started to get sick in significant numbers.
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As daneel noted in the OTHER thread, the NYT is ON IT.
The problem with Mrs. Clinton’s compliment: It was the Reagans who wanted nothing to do with the disease at the time.
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Dan Savage is not impressed.
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I think that one should go in the Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton thread.
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I guess it was just more misspeaking. Maybe she thought the gun salute at Reagan’s funeral was sniper fire?
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Marcy Kaptur, longest serving woman in the House, endorses Sanders.
“America could have no stronger Democratic leader for jobs in America, for fair trade and for economic progress for all, not just the privileged few, than Bernie Sanders,”
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Erm? Ultimately, Nancy Reagan’s position on AIDS can be verified by looking at the historical record. You’d expect a newspaper, with access to a morgue and a research staff to help clarify the issue.The “On it” meme, as I understand it, refers to the New York Times being late to a soft story that resists concrete verification.
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I was surprised to see the NYT out front and clearly calling out a candidate that they’ve been favoring. It was a double-secret-non-ironical deployment of ON IT.
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More attempted Sanders smearing in the Graun today.
They really have turned into the newspaper of New Labour.
They’re still better than the BBC though (I blame Murdoch).
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Does Murdoch own the Graun?
