2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine (Part 1)

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Add to that Putin’s strategy of using refugees as a political weapon. Chechnya, Syria, and now Ukraine.

Dump 20 million refugees on the west, crank up the xenophobia echo chambers, and what are Trump’s chances in 2024?

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Russia warns that Moscow now considers arms shipments to Ukraine as ‘legitimate targets’ for military

A senior Russian diplomat has warned that from now on Moscow will consider arms shipments to Ukraine as “legitimate targets”.

He talks about ‘convoys’, possibly implying ‘attacked outside of Ukraine’

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I’d imagine that the cargo is handed over at the border, so yes.

Meanwhile:

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The first pic of the tweet shows what seems to be a destroyed Ukrainian T-64BV right next to the Liberation Memorial displaying a Soviet T34-85 in Volnovakha, Donestk Oblast.

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I just got back from another tourist destination where I saw/eavesdropped on three Russian parties at various places (hotel, car rental, airport). They were all either making a hasty and early departure or were genuinely worried about how they’d pay their bills and get back home. They were speaking in low tones because they obviously didn’t want to get any grief for Putin’s war (which none seemed happy about).

My hope is that these tourists return to Russia and help spread the word about what a disaster attacking Ukraine is for their own country.

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Length:
140 m (459 ft)

Annual Running Cost:
US$ 50 – 75 million

Features

Based on the available footage of the luxury yacht, we conclude that her features include a helicopter landing pad, a large pool, a cinema, and several entertainment areas. She also has a drone crashing system, which literally crashes drones from the air.

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If they hit anything from NATO, even from Ukraine, he will be inviting a response.

It doesn’t even have to be the US who does it. A Polish convoy gets hit, maybe that is enough to get them to send air or ground support. It has probably chilled out since the 90s, but the Poles HATE Russia.


So the hot topic last night was chemical weapons in Ukraine. Would that be enough to warrant a UN response? Yes, I know, the UN is largely not really a force to reckon with. But, it COULD be. A loop hole to get troops from NATO nations, but under the UN banner? But I admit I have no googled to see if that is even possible, yet.

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The Bank of Oligarchs and trump cons backs out of Russia only after a little criticism.

You just know they will still be dealing with all the best Russians. Assholes.

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Russia to seize $10 billion of western leased jets

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Boeing: “We sent all of our 737 Max’s to Russia right?”

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Yeah, the book excerpt was interesting, insightful even, but his opinion piece was disappointing.

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OH yeah - good point… though I have heard rumblings that technically the USSR was on the security council, and not Russia. I seriously doubt that stunt would be pulled.

Politicians, bureaucrats, ambassadors, and government officials are all hindered by procedure, rule of law, and traditions. So when someone decides to “just not”, they have a hard time of coping within the established perimeters. It is like someone just jumps on top of a maze to reach an objective, and everyone else is zig zagging through it. (If you have ever gone through one fo those long, winding rope lines like at an airport, alone, you know what I mean.)

See, an example. You can’t just jump the turn style, there are these forms and metrics that have to be met first. While a mugger stabbing people is coming up from behind.

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But the application was posted in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying “Beware of the Leopard.”

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Ukraine has been slowly outlining a sorta legal case to that effect. As there was never really a vote and the rules around successor states in the UN aren’t clear.

Basically they’ve laid out a plausible reason to kick Russia out of the UN if it comes to that. But so long as they remain that argument can’t be used to end round their veto.

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That case should be pursued. And seeing as Russia is in breach of umpteen bits of UN charter, it should just be evicted STAT, and a combined UN force sent into Ukraine. But that is also wishful thinking as (a) China would never agree and (b) a UN force would be treated as a NATO force (or worse) by Putin and he would be more likely to press the button - he would see Russia being tossed out of the UN as an existential threat to Russia itself.

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if you read that link it isnt about giving russia what putin wants. here’s what the author proposes as a framework for peace:

  • Russia and Ukraine sign a treaty of neutrality. In return for Ukraine committing to become a neutral state with a defensive military, Russia supports Ukraine’s bid for membership in the European Union.
  • Russia and Ukraine agree to allow the United Nations establish and administer self-determination referendums in Crimea and the Donbas
  • Ukraine commits to dissolve any far-right armed groups on its territory.
  • In a phased process… the United States and the EU agree to drop sanctions against the Russian economy.
  • Nato and the Russian Federation commit to negotiate a new military security… involve a series of arms control treaties … and an explicit freeze on geopolitical competition over Armenia; Azerbaijan; Belarus; Georgia; Moldova; and Ukraine. Nato’s open door, in other words, needs to be firmly shut towards these states.

( i snipped it down quite a bit. )

more the problem is that i don’t think it’s possible to negotiate with putin in good faith.

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