While it doesn’t come much into play in Iowa or New Hampshire, Hilary also has a dominating lead among non-whites and a sizable lead among women. Frankly this Hillary only won because of “demographics” isn’t really going to hold out long, because its likely to turn into “Hillary only won because of all those non-white men who voted for her”.
I’m an under 40 liberal (not a Dem, political parties make me feel greasy). And from where I sit opinion seems pretty split among my peers. And frankly I tend to draw the line that it doesn’t technically matter which takes the nom, either presidency will likely look identical. On paper, with past policy positions and actions in actual government they’re effectively identical. Sure you can point to this issue or that moment and say “but my candidate did this”. But over all its kind of a wash. Bernie is a career politician that seldom risked too much, or accomplished anything major. Basically a gadfly that pecked the Dems internally to push them more toward their left wing. Hillary is a career politician that seldom risked much, or accomplished anything major. She’s a center left political animal that mainly focused on working the system to eek things through.
Bernie is pitching progressive reach positions. That’s not particularly encouraging because we just saw 8 years of the Republican’s lock on the house shutting that right the hell down. Hillary is campaigning on what’s practical. Which is boring because what the hell is inspiring about saying “well we might be able to do this”.
In terms of how that all works out in the end?
Bernie’s “political revolution” is naive as hell. It completely ignores the voter suppression and gerrymandering that have given the GOP a near lock on the house, and even firmer control of State and County offices all over the country. The sort of political change necessary to over come that doesn’t just happen because a Bernie Sanders gave us a sound bite. Combine that with the little foibles and scandals rolling out of his campaign (hacking another Campaigns info is some straight Nixon shit, regardless of the excuse). He’s either exactly the sort of political animal Hillary is, despite claiming otherwise. Or he’s hopelessly naive, and can’t (or doesn’t care to) maintain control of his own campaign apparatus
Hillary is Hillary. She’s got deeply depressing connections to exactly the sort of corrupt power structures that are causing us so many problems. She’s capable (if not likely) of tacking center right in the same way her husband did after election (she’s done it before). But if anything she’s a bit too in control of her shit. Out of the two of them, given their history I tend to think Hillary’s got the more experience, and more skill in actually making shit happen in Washington.
So if I’ve got to pick one of these two boring ass, uninspiring options I’m going to go with Hillary. She’ll do better in a general, and she’ll probably provide a more stable presidency. And more importantly leave progressives and liberals with a better outlook for next time around.
And that seems to be the discussion among the “youngs”. Because like I said I don’t think its really all that important which of the two gets it. Its likely to be a Democrat taking the election this year. If your at all interested in moving this country in a more progressive direction the DNC is the only option. They’re presenting a pretty unified front predicated in terms of class, economics, equality etc. If either of them gets elected we’re likely to see at least one term that’s a repeat of the last 8 years. The more important thing is the try and shift things on those down ballot elections. Attack the GOP’s control of the house. Work on state and local elections. Fight all that voter suppression But there isn’t likely to be much movement on any of that until the next census comes out in 2020. So its a holding pattern for now.
But frankly I’m getting sick of the Bernie side of things. His supporters are talking like they won’t vote if he doesn’t take the nomination. Which is the stupidest god damned thing they can do if they care at all about progressive causes or creating liberal momentum in this country. Many of them I’ve run into are singularly unwilling to acknowledge that anyone might have legit reasons for supporting anyone else. And more than a few of the most fervent Bernie boosters I known really only seem to support the guy because he mentioned their favorite pet issue once or twice, and they know next to nothing else about the guy. Its obnoxious. And it looks an awful lot more like the sort of purity test based, ideological nonsense that drives the right than I’m comfortable with.