Donald Trump surges in Iowa to historical high in latest poll

Originally published at: Trump hits historical high in poll

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Headline is incomplete, how bout:

Donald Trump surges in Iowa to historical high OVER OTHER REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES in latest poll

I wonder what polls in Iowa indicate about his popularity over (or maybe under?) Biden.

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I’d like to propose that henceforth, Vivek Ramaswamy be referred to as the “Little Pisser.”

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Ill Allow It GIF

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One of many reminders that the GOP has become a depraved cult.

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Sure, the GQP is a cult, but in my mind, this has at least as much to do with how utterly lame the other candidates are. Nikki Haley? Vivek Ramaswamy? Don’t make me laugh.

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The Lame Fascists is the name of their band.

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true-storrry: (android) cell-phone jangled yesterday, glanced at screen: "Likely Scam". So since the bus wasn’t due for another twenty minutes answered it out of utter boredom: It was a national political poll, (which i didn’t take). And this minuscule event, dear listeners, helps to underscore for the notable inaccuracy of national polling, and their infamous skewed tendency to garner the very sharpest of responses -sigh-

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I don’t know about Iowa but I saw this story today and it makes me nervous but it’s still way early in the game.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/11/politics/cnn-polls-trump-biden-michigan-georgia/index.html

Don’t know why previews aren’t working lately but here’s the headline.

CNN Polls: Trump leads Biden in Michigan and Georgia as broad majorities hold negative views of the current president

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It is indeed, and as @theophrastus just noted, any political polling these days needs to be taken with large quantities of granular white condiment.

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If the Iowans want him to be their king, then fine - let the orange dipshit be King of Iowa.

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Frustrated Parks And Recreation GIF

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The poll was of “502 likely Republican caucusgoers”, not anything like Iowans.

One would presume, that cult followers are more likely to take the effort to participate in a caucus.

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… Trump ahead by 10%

2024 Iowa Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

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So Biden is poised to win? :person_shrugging:

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As long as they promise to build a wall around Iowa once he’s inside, I’m in favor of it.

Edit to add: /s => See also: Gallows humor.

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the last time i looked this up, i read that polling for primaries is usually fairly accurate – especially as voting day approaches. it’s general election polling that’s not very accurate; especially many months out.

i’d be curious to know what the “number of likely republican voters” in iowa looks like over time. i tried to find some numbers, but couldn’t… it could be that people fed up with ■■■■■ ( and/or the party ) intend not to vote, artificially boosting the fascist preference of the remainder.

eta:

( i’m going to have to start scrounging under the couch cushions for spare change, if i keep owing all these soft drinks )

eata, some links:

primaries:

general elections:

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i dont want to live on this planet anymore GIF

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… even polls right before the election mean nothing

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Well, based on this it looks a lot different from South Carolina…

https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/registered-voters-by-party

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