While the parties have been positioning themselves for months for the October 21, 2019 election, the official writ probably won’t drop until this weekend, dissolving Parliament and starting the official race.
Polls currently give a slight edge to the Liberal Party, but that can break strangely where Canadians are voting for their individual Members of Parliament in first-past-the-post races, rather than for a single presidential leader: When the election is done, they count noses, and the leader of the party with the most noses gets to be Prime Minister, unless it’s a minority government where no one party has most of the noses. Then the hard-bargaining for more noses starts.
Most of the parties are battling their own problems.
- The Liberals (center-leftish) are recovering from the SNC-Lavalin affair and coming down from a Trudeau-mania high.
- The Conservatives (right of center) are fighting their two-faced stand on so many issues: Disavowing the far-right while playing footsie with them; promising the Christian Right anti-abortion bills while saying that they won’t; scrapping environmental laws while promising better environmental laws (while being in oil company pockets); Andrew Scheer saying that he’s better than Justin Trudeau, he’s not Doug Ford, while acting like Stephen Harper.
- The New Democratic Party (left) are fighting the invisibility of their leader, Jagmeet Singh, compared to previous leaders Jack Layton and Tom Mulcair.
- Conservative sore-loser Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party of Canada is fighting that their party is full of racists. Well, he says that he’s fighting it… Hopefully they’ll split the vote with the Conservatives in a few ridings, allowing someone else to squeak up the middle.
- The Green Party is fine, and will probably increase seats, possibly at the expense of the NDP.
Stephen Harper took a break from teaching BoJo the foul art of proroguing to make a fund-raising pitch, for the Conservatives and Liberals! Jogging Canadians’ memories of The Harper Years might not have been a wise move. Good.