Sorry - you got turned around. That is the US chart, not the UK chart. I hardly doubt UK laws has any affect on the US.
As for WHY the US crime rate when down, the honest answer is no one is for sure why. The RISE was at least party due to the crack epidemic, which is also why the black murder rate had a disproportionate spike compared to everyone else. Freakonmics makes a fairly strong case that Roe v Wade and the legalization of abortions was at least partly responsible (less hopeless poor turning to crime). ETA - another theory is removing lead from gasoline and thus the effects of lead in the environment.
Here is the UK chart again. You can see your laws in the 80s and 90s kept the murder rate about the same, with slight upward slant. Ironically after the hand gun act in 97 murder went UP. It is back down, nearly to 1980s levels though. I could say something about causation/correlation with the increase in murders after the bans, but honestly I can’t say for certain that the ban lead to the spike or if there were other forces.
Yes and no. I mean it SEEMS logical. But how you THINK things should work and how they work in the real world are often two different things. Thats why I love books like Freakonimcs and You are Not So Smart, because it takes what seems like a reasonable conclusion and then turns it on its ear.
IF you had a complete gun band and confiscation in the US, yes it would reduce gun crime, and suicides. It would not get rid of it because the black market would still exist. 3rd world hell holes with high murder rates, and even nice ones like Mexico, have VERY restrictive gun laws. Read Mexicos gun law wiki. Yet some how they are awash in gun violence. So if we did that in the US we would punish the 80 million honest folk and a small percentage could still get them through illicit means and do what ever they want.
But odds are you aren’t going to have a complete ban. So no matter what scheme you set up in place, you are going to get criminals getting their hands on guns. Look at drugs. Look at teen drinking and smoking. I was a teen. I didn’t drink, smoke, or use drugs. But if I WANTED to - pre internet - it would have not been a problem. How can you logically think that some how we can create a fool proof barrier? Its like Trump supporters for the wall - it’s folly.
Question - how do we prevent more illegal drugs from coming into the US? We already have the laws, do we need more? Or do we just come to the realization that you can’t stop all of them.
So aside from it not working - and we already have several checks and balances in place, don’t pretend we don’t. But beyond that I have the philosophical problem with making “lethal toys less available” so less people die. Smoking and drinking are legal and are causes of some the top killers of American, heart disease, cancer, stroke, and lung disease are 4 of the top 5 killers, and LEGAL substances are the cause for a lot of it. Diabetes is #7 and obesity is a leading factor in many of these conditions too. Maybe we should ban refined sugar, soda pop, and Twinkies. And with alcohol you also have the added issues of alcoholism and it playing a role in assaults, rapes, drunk driving accidents, and other horrible things.
But wait, Mister.44, many people enjoy a drink and occasional cigar or joint, and hurt no one. In fact MOST of them do. We tried banning alcohol and it didn’t work. It made things worse. The drug war is a complete failure. Banning those other things in the hopes we get less people to die form their effects is folly.
Exactly!