Tell it to Paul Robeson
Considering the US accounts for over 70% of Mexicoâs exports while Mexico is only 13% of US exports, I have a feeling the US would âwinâ the trade war. Especially when you look at what we export vs. what they export. They export finished products, we export components. They export crude oil, we export refined petroleum.
In any kind of protracted trade war, especially with someone who seems fully willing to ignore short-term pain like Trump does, it seems inevitable that the US will âwin.â
Not that I say that Trumpâs plan is sane or anything, but the idea that we couldnât do it isnât that far fetched.
Youâre thinking within the bounds of a sane leader - a sufficiently insane president could strongarm a non-nuclear power with threats of nuclear strikes, particularly when you consider the power structure that decides who to nuke and whenâŠ
Dude, with the stuff youâve said, if you said the fuck-word. it would be barely a blip. Compared to shit like saying that the Japanese-American internments werenât a bad idea (just off the top of my head as an example), no, that would not cause an uproar.
It would still hurt. Especially in agriculture.
And if the US were to launch a trade war based on an utterly delusional campaign promise - not on a legitimate grievance - itâs would affect trade with other countries too. The USâs increasing refusal to honor NAFTA on wheat, lumber, trucking, livestock and manufacturing has led Canada to sign free trade agreements with other countries as fast as it can. A free trade agreement with the EU is waiting for ratification.
Specifically, the US bans exporting its own oil. So it imports Mexican and Canadian oil, refines it, and exports it. You can stop that, but itâll hurt.
And even without banning Canadian oil, it would give Canada the final push to develop the Energy-East pipeline, to take Alberta oil to east-coast refineries and ports.
Trump might be willing to ignore the short-term pain (and long-term consequences), but Congress isnât. It wouldnât be long before Republicans refuse to deal with him like theyâve refused with Obama. Try to launch a trade war based on his delusional claim, and Congress would override him.
More money needed for patrol boats in the Gulf of Mexico as well as the cost of the wall.
Well, itâs a new revenue stream for the trawler fleets. So long as we can keep Johnny Foreigner from nicking all the smuggling jobs from us Plucky, Hardworking Brits
As a side issue, this is the longest single sentence I ha ve ever read on BB that I have been able to parse without difficulty. Have you been channelling MacAulay?
From personal experience, I would say exit visas occur in countries which are hard to leave easily, such as islands or countries with militaristic security.
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