Ongoing coronavirus happenings

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Now waiting for the fish monger counter-protests when the ‘No More Poisson’ sign starts making an appearance.

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Oh, god. I should never have watched the video.

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And he had to look at his notes for the phrase “adios, amigo.” :roll_eyes:

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Very nicely explained. I used to walk first-year sociologists through exactly this calculation when teaching statistics classes…

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Indeed, sign languages even have dialects just like spoken languages!

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That scenario sounds unrealistic on the optimistic side. We’re seeing a long plateau and a gradual decline in cases in European countries that are taking lockdown seriously. A country that abandons lockdown in the middle of that plateau will get a second spike. One that has a higher peak than the first one.

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“Jump-start local economic recovery” by depriving people of spending money. Yeah, that’ll work.

“These states are offering people the choice to endanger your life or starve,” said Damon A. Silvers, the director of policy and special counsel for the AFL-CIO.

“Endanger your life or starve” has always been the deal for coal miners and many other workers. That has never bothered capitalists.

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Yeah, with the patchwork of state responses (and reopenings), the best case scenario will be the weekly hotspots pinballing across the map. And as soon as an area with very low active cases reduces restrictions, in comes some infected folks from another part of the country and turn it into a hot spot.

This will not go well.

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Does this look like the face of a rational actor?

https://www.yahoo.com/gma/michigan-rally-against-shelter-place-order-spills-capitol-193513207--abc-news-topstories.html

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This is fine.

(Ever tried to kick out a smoldering sawdust fire? If you value your eyebrows, don’t.)

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Nothing I can say about that situation that wouldn’t get me banned from the BBS for a couple of months.

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Everything I know about statistics I picked up in the gutter, along with sex-ed and technical drawing. I was glad to have an entry level explanation.

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the rest of us call them “people”, “friends”, “relatives”, or “loved ones”

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That scenario sounds unrealistic on the optimistic side. We’re seeing a long plateau and a gradual decline in cases in European countries that are taking lockdown seriously.

The author’s comment further in the thread matches exactly with what you are saying:

There may well be cities / counties that achieve suppression locally, but nationally I expect things be messy with flare-ups in various geographies followed by responses to these flare-ups.

It doesn’t preclude spikes. The statement was that talking about a second wave is premature, when the first is far from over. If the author is over optimistic anywhere, it is in the assumption that people exposed are building immunity.

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Some industries that are getting slammed hard by the virus

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