We just don’t know yet.
as for the rest of the thread above you (I am not directing this at @chenille - I know you were kidding
I understand the fear at poking the beehive - we have really never been in a situation like this, where the major nuclear power (aside from the US) has decided to just go ahead and start taking it what wants. Never having been on this side of that sort of behavior is terrifying (We should remember this feeling going forward)
However, Putin is calling the bluff of the last 75 years. He is saying “I can do as I like because I don’t think the west will use nukes, and I think you think that I will so you are going to give me what I want”.
I don’t see what we can do but respond. How we respond is the question, and thank god I am just a guy on the internet and I don’t have to decide that. I do believe that thinking it will end here, or that it will just go away is not an answer though