Whoever triggers it loses half the country at a stroke. Not a good decision.
But getting elected and then not calling it will eventually lose the other half. And getting elected pledging to call another election straight away looks like the same thing.
It seems to me that Boris Johnson is eminently sensible. Having lit the fuse that will explode messily over the next few months to a year, he’s now handing the bag to some poor power-hungry fellow who is going to have their career destroyed presiding over the consequences of Brexit.
Once the worst is over, he can waltz back in, claim that it would all have gone swimmingly if he’d been in charge, and he should garner most of the supporters who now feel like idiots for having plunged Britain into this carnage, but can now simply blame the government rather than their decision.
He may have run too early. Two legal points raised on the Today programme Saturday morning: 1) it may not be in the gift of the Prime Minister to invoke article 50, it may require the consent of parliament; 2) once invoked that is not the end, article 50 can be revoked at any point before our final secession putting a complete stop to the process.
Gove seems on the way out too now because of his betrayal. By the time there is a definite legal judgement on the process of withdrawal there may be no-one left; they are dropping fast.
And Farage is also gone. Not completely unexpected (not the first time he announced that he will leave politics) but his explanation feels not really wholeheartedly. He’s “done the job”? Nah, the real process has not even started, leaving now is imo cowardly. He should be motivated and proud to shape the new Little Britain.
So Cameron is going, Boris is out, Corbyn is the subject of a slow motion coup, Falange has resigned, and we still don’t know who has the authority to trigger article 50.
At this rate, we might see Prime Minister Sturgeon by Friday, as she’ll be the only leader still in place, and the only one with any idea what they’re doing.
Chilcot report in 2 days, that ought to stir things up a bit in the Labour Party. I reckon Corbyn should, assuming he wins the vote as predicted, say ‘Right, we’re out, now what are we going to do about it?’ and run on a platform of anti austerity and general sanity. And some good old-fashioned purging too.