and… it almost looks that’s not doing 7-day averages, instead they’re determining a positivity rate by averaging across all tests. ( the main nc health site doesn’t seem to provide the data in a way that’s easily to figure that out either. )
so if it’s going up, i’d imagine its really going up.
cross posting to this –
where at least nationally, we may be still in a situation where our testing capacity increases aren’t exceeding the infection increases.
I believe in the presentation they were doing 7 day averages and it looked more steady than in that graph. Hopefully NCDHHS or someone else will be posting the slides and contents of the press conference.
Market driven analysis is always playing up how “the death rate may be lower”, as if it’s the only thing we should be looking at with health outcomes.
(The numbers are an important data point, but it’s always interesting the emphasis different news outlets want to put on what it means or what the takeaway should be.)
Trump just suggested treating covid by “bringing sunlight inside the body.” WTF? I have read about something like this as a medieval torture/execution thing, but as medical treatment? Wow…
The actual death rate is certainly lower than 7%. That still leaves a lot of room for some very scary possibilities.
For death rate, there are few if any false positives, and likely they are missing a bunch, from looking at increase in overall mortality, rather than just confirmed cases.
Bearing that in mind, if this antibody study is an accurate sample, that gives an actual case fatality rate of ~0.8-1.5%. This is broadly in line with other similar estimates from other places, and is still terrifying. If we did a “herd immunity “ strategy over the whole US, that would be 3-4 million people dead.
So this doesn’t really make the situation any better than what we already knew.
I’m sure he was just riffing on how the Krebs Cycle run backwards is so similar to photosynthesis, so that’s his in-joke way of suggesting that us animals should keep ourselves in good nutritional shape by consuming more plants.
Yes. Also with the findings that some some are testing lower than expected in antibodies, herd immunity is even being questioned.
Then there is the whole discussion about outcomes where people do survive, and future medical issues from complications, that gets swept under the rug.
Secretary of Health and Human Services, Alex Azar, is a Republican lawyer who once clerked for the late conservative Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia and counts current Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh as a friend.
Azar became President of Lilly USA, LLC, the largest division of Eli Lilly and Company, and was responsible for the company’s entire operations in the United States.[18] Prices for drugs rose substantially under Azar’s leadership, including the tripling of the cost of the company’s top-selling insulin drug. Also under Azar’s watch, Eli Lilly was one of three companies accused in a class-action lawsuit of exploiting the drug pricing system to increase profits for insulin. Eli Lilly was also fined in Mexico for colluding on the price of insulin.
WTF? I have read about something like this as a medieval torture/execution thing, but as medical treatment? Wow…
